Sep 3, 2025
Europe Q3 Readout: North Range Hubs vs. Mediterranean Transshipment
North Range gateways (RTM/ANR/HAM) operated within one standard deviation of 2024 means. Mediterranean transshipment hubs displayed higher variance tied to feeder rotations and weather windows.
What stood out in Q3
North Range gateways kept berth occupancy steady; Rotterdam and Antwerp saw modest improvements in schedule reliability. West Med used Valencia as a shock absorber for late arrivals from the Transatlantic. Algeciras and Piraeus experienced volatility linked to feeder bunching.
Metrics (last 30 days)
- NLRTM congestion_score p95: 0.62
- BEANR congestion_score p95: 0.65
- ESALG transfer dwell p95: 31h (rollovers on feeders)
Planning implications
- Gateway choice: For West Med-bound cargo with tight SLAs, Valencia remains the safer buffer versus direct transshipment.
- BAF & lead-time reviews: Hold a +1 day buffer for flows touching ESALG during high-variance weeks.
- Exception design: Trigger alerts when transfer dwell crosses 30h or congestion_score stays >0.65 for 5 consecutive days.
How to build this in your BI
- Rank gateways by 85th percentile dwell variance and overlay normalized congestion_score.
- Use a single cross-port threshold (0.65) to simplify lane-level rules across RTM/ANR/VLC.